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How Does "Aunt" Think Over The Market?

2014/12/17 8:15:00 9

"Aunt" ThinkingMarketStock Market

When the early layout, long-term latent professional investors were happy when the bull market began to rise for several consecutive days, Small and medium-sized retail investors That is the "Chinese mothers" who have enjoyed a reputation in the field of global investment in the past few years, but they are actually facing the painful choice and suffering of "catching up or not pursuing".

At the same time, more and more market watchers said that as the "aunt" enthusiastically entered the market, the A share market would be overdrawn and overvalued. market risk 。 Just like the past two years, "aunt" in the process of confrontation with Wall Street predators, failed to get the upper hand, many retail investors really do not have the bottom, wondering if they pursue the "aunt" footsteps, is it possible to profit?

How should mothers and their flock follow their mothers' mistakes and lessons to successfully catch up with this bull market? Here, Professor Zhu Ning has three suggestions:

First, purchase index type or ETF fund Diversified investment in various sectors. For those who are unable to accurately judge the strength of different sectors, they should be able to bring about at least a return on investment which is roughly the same as market performance.

Two, the fund fixed investment. Since it is difficult for mothers to accurately judge every fluctuation in the market, they may invest their respective funds in different stages of the market. There is another advantage of the fund's fixed investment, which is to ensure that investors can reduce their exposure at a high market level and build positions more vigorously when the market is low. This is also why China's best performing fund investors are precisely the investors that the fund decides to invest.

Three, define clear investment objectives and stop loss standards, eliminate or at least reduce the impact of greed and fear on investment decisions in the course of investment.

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If rescue, tens of billions of dollars in the cost of salvage in the future can not be recovered, whether it can play a rescue effect is worth considering. If not, the BRICs Cooperation Initiative will be greatly reduced, and even in the short run, the stagnation will be difficult. Saving or not saving has become a dilemma in front of China. Ruble sharply depreciated China to save or not save the ruble, a significant depreciation of China's rescue or not?

In December 15th, the Russian rouble broke through the 67 rubles / dollar mark in the US dollar exchange rate, and the crash rate was over 15%. The Moscow foreign exchange trading center even suddenly announced that the transaction with more than 64.45 quotations on the day was cancelled as a result of the risk management control line over the exchange. In the case of a sharp fall in the exchange rate, this move has also aroused investors' emotional panic. This year, the rupee has lost 44% of its total value (Figure 1).

Then, the Central Bank of Russia announced a sharp increase in interest rates. In order to prevent further depreciation of the rouble and to cope with domestic inflation, the key interest rate was raised by 650 basis points to 17%. Can Russia's central bank raise interest rates this time? Will ruble continue to depreciate? Under normal circumstances, the 600 base point rate increase is absolutely great, and the market should respond. Unfortunately, it may not be normal at the moment.


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